Alexander Chubrik
Reforms in Belarus after the cancelled IMF program: Totem and taboo
Why Belarusian authorities appeared to be so reluctant to even modest structural change expected by the Fund? Have they abandoned idea of reforms, or have they chosen to follow the reform path, but one of their own?
Fiscal Incidence in Belarus: A Commitment to Equity Analysis
The paper employs the Commitment to Equity framework to present fiscal incidence analysis for Belarus. It reveals that fiscal policies in Belarus effectively redistribute income from the top to the bottom of the income distribution.
A few remarks on the Decree #3
What was the purpose of the Decree #3 that involved the government machinery at all levels into solution of the problem that have not existed before its adoption?
KEF-2016 “Reforms for Inclusive Growth”: key findings and recommendations
The analytic paper which is based on participants’ speech of conference “Reforms for Inclusive Growth” is prepared by Alexander Chubrik. This conference was held in Minsk on November 3-4, 2016 in scopes of October economic forum.
Conditional financing terms: IMF VS EFSD
In comments there is a short comparison of the EFSD program and the IMF mission’s conclusions by the following criteria: diagnosed problems of Belarusian economy, necessary measures in the field of macroeconomic policy and in the field of structural reforms.
Three questions about one unsolvable problem in the Belarusian economy
Economic downturn in Belarus is already lasted 15 months in a row. In conditions of prolonged fall of external demand Belarusian economic authorities are forced to take actions to restrict internal demand whereas previously accumulated imbalances deprived the government of resources and possibilities to stimulate economic activity at the expense of traditional sources.
Increasing utility tariffs: social aspects
At the beginning of February the government has announced plans to increase the level of costs compensation by utility tariffs. But it's necessary to take into account that the increase affects unevenly on welfare of different households’ groups.
Reform 3.0: Making Belarusian transition happen
The commentary is prepared by the IPM Research Center for KEF-2015 and considers Belarus’ strengths and weaknesses comparing to “reform pioneers” of the early 1990s, as well as context-specific issues that should be taken into account by policymakers.
Don’t let the money to mess up the reforms: Few notes on the new round of Belarus – IFIs negotiations
Last week the Belarusian delegation represented by top economic officials attended the Spring Meetings of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund.
Agri-food sector of Belarus: trends, policies, and development perspectives
Belarus country report prepared within the AGRICISTRADE project, aimed at analyzing the current and potential developments for agricultural and biomass trade between the EU and its eastern neighbor-countries.