Gleb Shymanovich
WP/10/01 Social Consequences of the Economic Crisis in Belarus, and the Areas of Changes in Social Policy
The aim of this study was to identify vulnerable groups of the population and formulate the areas of changes in the social policy aimed at reducing the risk of poverty for these groups.
WP/09/03 Impact of the Global Economic Crisis on the Economy of Belarus
The paper presents an analysis of the influence of the crisis on foreign trade, the real sector, monetary sector, the sector of public finances in Belarus, and provides the evaluation of the government intervention taken to overcome the crisis.
PDP/09/04 Belarus Foreign Trade: the Main Challenges and Ways to Overcome them
This paper evaluates the structure of foreign trade of Belarus, its changes and their impact on the prospects for the country economic development.
PP/07/09 Perspectives for Fiscal Policy and Budget Deficit Financing in Belarus
Belarus has a tradition of conducting solid fiscal policies. However, the arrival of the international financial crisis and the resulting economic downturn in Belarus at the end of 2008 creates great challenges to fiscal policy and debt management. As a result of the crisis, Belarus is likely to run sizeable budgets deficits and pile up public debt in the coming years.
PDP/09/01 External Debt of Belarus: Sustainability
The paper analyzes the sustainability of the external debt of Belarus, the possibilities of its growth, and develops recommendations for the optimization of its structure.
WP/09/01 External Debt of Belarus: Experience of Post-Socialist Countries
Based on the experience of post-socialist countries, the paper concludes that the average increase in the external debt leads to lower economic growth rates. This conclusion should be considered in the case of Belarus as well.
WP/08/08 External Debt of Belarus in Context of the Current Account Deficit
This paper analyzes the impact of the external debt, growing due to the current account deficit, on the economic growth of Belarus on the basis of the experience of Central and Eastern Europe and the CIS.
WP/08/03 The Impact of Demographic Trends on the Stability of the Pay-As-You-Go Pension System in Belarus
This paper uses a partial equilibrium model and estimates the impact of demographic trends on the sustainability of the pension system in Belarus.
Economic Consequences of Gas Price Increase: A Quantitative Estimate
ECOWEST (2007) 6, 1, 124-137.
WP/07/11 Major Trends and Forecasts for the Economies of the Eurasian Economic Union (EurAsEU) in the Medium Term (2007-2010)
The report has been prepared by the Research Center jointly with the Foundation CASE - Center for Social and Economic Research (Warsaw, Poland) in the framework of the project of the Center for Strategic Research (Russia).